Bankroll & risk

📊 Staking Plans Simulator

Simulate Martingale, Fibonacci, D’Alembert, flat — with a bankroll chart.

Result
How it works

The formula

Runs a Monte-Carlo of the chosen progression and plots the bankroll curve.

Example: Martingale doubles after a loss — fast recovery but catastrophic tail risk.

FAQ

Questions

Do progressions beat the house?

No. No staking plan changes the negative expectation of a −EV game.

Why simulate?

To see the variance and ruin risk each plan actually carries.

More tools

Related calculators

🧮

Kelly Criterion

Optimal stake size from your edge — full, half & quarter Kelly.

⛰️

Risk of Ruin / Drawdown

Probability of losing your bankroll given edge, odds and bet size.

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Session Budget

How long a bankroll lasts at a given bet size and pace.

For entertainment & education only. OSOTOTO does not offer gambling. Results are mathematical estimates — variance means real outcomes differ. 18+. Need support? Self-check.